Wednesday, April 15, 2015

NHL Round 1 playoff predictions

Allright hockey fans - the playoffs start tonight. Let's play Spin the Brackets!

Before we begin, let me be very clear. I am NOT a hockey expert by ANY stretch of the imagination. But it is fun to moonlight as one! So today I present to thee, my darndest attempt at impersonating a hockey sportsblogger.


EASTERN CONFERENCE

#1 New York Rangers vs #4 Pittsburgh Penguins
OK, I am not unbiased here since the Penguins are my second-favorite team. But I'll be brutally honest.

It was distressing to observe how out-of-sync the Penguins looked during the final stretch of the regular season. They have been completely decimated by injury. The recent loss of defenseman Kris Letang has been what I consider the final blow. This forced them to play with only five d-men for long stretches of time due to salary cap constraints. Terrible situation.

This is in stark contrast to the surging Rangers, who are even more dangerous now that star goalie Henrik Lundqvist is back in the line-up. Truthfully, I fear the Penguins are going to get swept. But I'll be a little optimistic that Pittsburgh will finally be able to get some help from their farm team d-men in the playoffs. Plus, I think Pens star goalie Marc-Andre Fleury will probably steal a game or two.

Prediction: Rangers in five (although I hope it will go to at least six)

#2 Washington Capitals vs #3 New York Islanders
Interesting match-up! The Islanders have been on the downswing towards the end of the regular season. Additionally, the Capitals have a strong power play while the Islanders struggle on the penalty kill. I also don't have a lot of confidence in Islanders goalie Jaroslav Halak (though admittedly I think Caps goalie Braden Holtby is untested, too).

Prediction: Capitals in six

#1 Montreal Canadiens vs #4 Ottawa Senators
Holy Batman, Ottawa Senators! Way for the Sens to be the fairytale of the regular season, coming out of complete obscurity to make the playoffs with gusto. I think Ottawa will give the Canadiens a serious run for their money. This series has upset potential. Ultimately I don't think the Sens will be able to keep up their torrid pace down the stretch, though. Regardless of what happens, you know that Hockey Night in Canada will be ALL OVER this match-up.

Prediction: Habs in seven

#2 Tampa Bay Lightning vs #3 Detroit Red Wings
I am used to the Red Wings always being favored for their extensive playoff experience. However, these days it seems like they are on the decline. They've got a goalie controversy and from what I understand, their experience has now morphed into a lack of youth. Tampa led the NHL in goals scored during the regular season and from what I hear, they are less injury-ridden than the Wings.

Prediction: Lightning in six

COMMERCIAL BREAK

Any time I'm at the United Center, I giggle each time I see Jonathan Toews sharing his game-watching etiquette tips:


Way to tell 'em, Tazer!

Remember his words, folks: THINK. And then go.

[End commercial break/public service announcement]

I wonder if there were any outtakes from that video???

Anyways... moving on!

WESTERN CONFERENCE

#1 St. Louis Blues vs #4 Minnesota Wild
Great match-up! The Wild are another Cinderella story this season. I will be the first to admit that I thought Wild coach Mike Yeo should have been fired early on. I am amazed that goalie Devan Dubnyk has made that much of a difference in their turnaround. I don't think the Wild can keep up their torrid pace forever, but I do think they have more momentum going into the playoffs than the Blues. Both teams have untested goalies so it'll be interesting to see who breaks first. Either way, as a Blackhawks fan, it'll be exciting to watch these teams maul each other.

Prediction: Wild in seven

#2 Nashville Predators vs #3 Chicago Blackhawks
Disclaimer: I am biased. So incredibly, ridiculously, obscenely biased.

I think that Nashville outperformed themselves during the first half of the regular season. Their biggest strength is goalie Pekka Rinne. Beyond that, I don't think they are standouts in any other category. It also makes me raise my eyebrows to hear about some of the Predators' antics to keep visiting Hawks fans at bay (Example 1 and Example 2). I think Nashville is shooting themselves in the foot.

I am surprised and thrilled that Hawks superstar Patrick Kane will be returning from his lengthy injury for this series! Even without him, I would have favored the Hawks with their potent offense, stingy defense, strong special teams, and goalie depth. But now, this is a total no-brainer for me.

Prediction: Hawks in six (although, Kaner's return is tempting me to say five)

#1 Anaheim Ducks vs #4 Winnipeg Jets
Ducks coach Bruce Boudreau's teams have a history of amazing regular seasons, followed by flame-outs when the playoffs begin. As such, I always consider his teams to be potential upsets. They do have much more playoff experience than the Jets, though. I thought Winnipeg was going to stumble out of playoff contention at the last minute. I think even they are surprised to be there. It'll be fun to watch the Jets run and gun their way in this series as the underdog. In this case, though, I think that Anaheim will be able to pull it off. 

Prediction: Ducks in six

#2 Vancouver Canucks vs #3 Calgary Flames
Hockey Night in Canada will be all over this match-up, too. Vancouver has a lot more playoff experience, but in general I don't think they are as potent in any category as they once were. They also have a goalie controversy. On the other hand, I think Calgary is another team that is surprised to find themselves in the playoffs. I think the Flames will play more like they have nothing to lose. In the end, though, I think that Vancouver has a more balanced attack.

Prediction: Canucks in six

As always, feel free to comment or email me if you want to let me know how wrong you think I am on any of these predictions.

To conclude today: In honor of Patrick Kane's return, and since no hockey post of mine is ever complete without a great Blackhawks photo, I present to you one of my favorite goal celebrations by #88 himself!

This puts all my race photo body spasms to shame, eh?

10 comments:

  1. Happy hump day! I have no idea abotu hockey, but love that you're passionate about it!

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    1. Happy hump day to you, too, Lauren!!! LOL, I think all hockey fans are a little crazy. =D We're a different breed than most sportsfans!

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  2. Where I live, I'm not sure we know how to spell hocky (oops). LOL. But, I totally respect that you love the sport. Ask us about SEC football and we will talk you ears off. Enjoy the playoffs!

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    1. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!! You are too funny, HoHo! I can only imagine how passionate the fans are for SEC football where you live. I bet it is like religion there!!!

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  3. Great post! I did a bracket for the first time. Since the Canes missed the playoffs (again...sigh), my husband and I are "competing" against our good hockey couple friend in a bracket challenge. This should help keep us interested in the playoffs (which I do love, but get depressed that my team is out once again). I typically pick a "favorite" team to follow during the playoffs, but this year, I will be pulling for my picks!!

    As far as the East, my first round picks are the same as yours. I think the big match up in the East is definitely MTL & OTT...I believe that one may be the most interesting series in the East for round one.

    As far as the West goes, we agree on two and disagree on two. I picked STL over MIN and CGY over VAN. I honestly think the CHI/NSH series will be the one to watch in the East! I have CHI winning that one, but I think it will be an exciting match-up.

    I have CHI and NYR going to the final and yet to decide (I need to today) who will will that one. I can guess your prediction:)

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    1. It's such a bummer about the Canes missing the playoffs again this year. It seems that when they do make the playoffs, though, they either win or go very far! Here is hoping they will have a better year next year! And yes, the bracket challenge definitely helps keep you engaged if your team isn't competing! Amazing how that works, yes?

      I agree that the MTL/OTT series is going to be super interesting! I debated back and forth on that one because I really do feel it could go either way. There are a LOT of folks picking OTT for the upset - and I certainly understand why!!!

      Likewise on the Western conference - it was a real tossup for me on STL/MIN. And there is a lot of debate on VAN/CGY - it seems that folks are pretty well split on that one! Ooooh, the drama unfolds. =) There are some really compelling match-ups this year!

      I am really glad to hear that you believe in CHI. =) I also have CHI and NYR going to the Finals! You are absolutely correct on who I would pick for the championship. No biases, of course. =D

      Please keep me posted on how your bracket challenge goes!!! Can't wait for the playoffs to begin tonight!!!

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  4. I never knew I couldn't go to the bathroom during game play. Thanks Jonathan!

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    1. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!! Yes, during live games, people are asked to not get up or be up while the puck is in play because it blocks others' views, etc. People will shout at you to wait for a whistle. "The more you know." ;-)

      As much as I love watching hockey live, watching from home is nice for being able to go whenever you need to. =D

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  5. Love how into hockey you are! Have you considered placing some online bets!?

    Go Blackhawks & Lightning!!

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    1. LOL, I think all hockey fans are a little bit on the crazy side. =D We are fortunate to live in a city where hockey is so popular and so celebrated!!! No online betting for me - it's stressful enough as it is to watch these games without worrying about financial repercussions. =D

      It's too bad that the SJ Sharks didn't make the playoffs this year, otherwise you could cheer for them, too!

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